ABOUT ME

 

Nick Ragone is an author, attorney and public relations executive in New York City. He earned a bachelor’s degree in history and political science from Rutgers University, and is a graduate of the Eagleton Institute of Political Science at Rutgers University (undergraduate) and the Georgetown University Law Center.

He is the author of three books: Essential American Government, Everything American Government, and President's Most Wanted. Nick is a regular contributor to the Fox News Channel and Fox Business, the PIX11 Morning Show, and has a weekly appearance on the popular Raph Bailey Radio Show.  He co-anchored PIX11's five-hour live inauguration coverage with Jim Watkins and Kaity Tong.

Nick is a contributor to Donklephant.com, one of the most influential political blogs on the web, and  has written for US News & World Report, The Star-Ledger, Real Simple Magazine and RealSimple.com.  Nick has been quoted in over two dozen stories on politics, the presidency, and public relations.  In December of 2007, Nick was named one of PR Week's 40 under 40 to watch, and in May of 2008 was featured in "Profiles of Success", a book about public relations. Nick lives in Jersey City, NJ, with his wife and two children, and spends what little free time he has obsessing on the Mets.

Nick can also be found on Facebook. http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=740817853


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« ABC shut out of presidential debates | Main | Veep Talk »
Tuesday
Aug052008

Virginia is the new Florida

On election night 2000, the late Tim Russert famously answered "Florida, Florida, Florida" to the question: Which state would be pivotal to the outcome. 

The same thing might be said of Virginia come election night.  I floated this theory on Fox and Friends yesterday:  Virginia is the new Florida.

It's a state that the Democrats haven't won since 1964, but that has undergone a bit of a Democratic revival the past few years with the election of Senator James Webb, and former Governor Mark Warner and current Governor Tim Kaine. 

Obama's camp thinks it has a real shot at Virginia's 13 electoral votes.  Though Bush won it fairly handily twice, all the polls show a dead heat at this point, and Obama is pouring a ton of resources into the state.  It may be the most visited state by both candidates come election day.

And it's no coincidence that two Virginians -- Governor Tim Kaine and Representative Eric Cantor -- have made it onto Obama and McCain's respective Veep shortlists.  Anything that can tip the balance of power won't be ruled out. 

It could be a simple matter of who has a better turn-out-the-vote operation.  Obama has invested heavily in new voter registration and a grassroots organization, and he proved during the primary that he could get people to the polls.  McCain won't be able to match Obama on resources, but he does have the advantage of a numerical head-start. 

Any why is Virginia so important? If it goes for Obama, it means McCain will have to win a traditional Democratic big state -- basically Pennsylvania or Michigan (since Minnesota and Wisconsin are real long shots) -- and possibly both if Obama also wins Colorado and New Mexico, where he is already leading.  Put simply, a Virginia loss would make the math very difficult for McCain.

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Reader Comments (4)

What's it matter? If virginia is the new florida, they're just going to get new electronic voting machines that will 'confuse' all of ithe state's voters to conveniently vote republican... no biggie, right?

August 5, 2008 | Unregistered CommenterAmy

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