Superdelegate math!
Saturday, April 12, 2008 at 09:34AM Politico.com has a great piece on the vagaries of superdelegate math.
The key takeaway is that sorting out the superdelegate count is much more art than science. It's no wonder that the major news organizations doing "original" counting -- AP, New York Times, NBC News, etc -- all have different tallies, and in some cases dramatically different. They're all using different methodologies, much like polling uses different methodologies.
Truth is, the superdelegate tally should be viewed more like a poll -- a snapshot in time -- than as definitive reality. It's all subject to change, and in fact after the last primary on June 2nd, we'll probably see the superdelegates come out en masse for the pledged delegate leader (almost certain to be Barak Obama) and put an end to the race. The superdelegate polling is interesting, but at this point fairly irrelevant.
Nick Ragone |
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