And the race goes on ....
Wednesday, March 5, 2008 at 08:23AM My crystal ball was a bit cloudier than usual last night. The evening
mostly went as thought: McCain won big and Huckabee ended his campaign,
Obama won Vermont, and Hillary took Rhode Island and Ohio fairly
easily. 
The big shocker, however, is Clinton's victory in Texas, and her
competitive showing in the Texas caucus. As of right now, it looks like the caucus is a split decision -- something Obama's camp was expecting him to win big (and cushion his delegate lead). Ill wait for Chuck Todd at NBC and others to tally up the delegate math, but my guess is that Hillary will somewhat cut into Obama's lead.
So Hillary has the momentum, and is within shouting distance on the delegate count. What does it all mean? For starters, this race isn't ending anytime soon. Pennsylvania is on April 22nd, so we'll see hand-to-hand combat until then. The math is still difficult for Hillary Clinton to overcome without the super-delegates coming to her rescue,
but her argument will be that she's won all the big states and should be
the nominee. Obama will counter that that he's won the popular vote, and
the super delegates should follow suit.
What's next: Wyoming holds its caucus on Saturday and Mississippi next
Tuesday. Obama is expected to win both, and at this point he must win
them to slow her momentum. As of right now, he's probably still the
favorite, but he had a chance to deliver a knockout blow last night and
came up short.
Obama will have another chance to put it away on April 22nd in
Pennsylvania. It sounds like a broken record, but if he wins Penn, then
it's probably over. But there's a long way to go before that, and John
McCain is one happy Republican this morning.
Reader Comments (2)
Clinton quoted on Wednesday:
"I think that I have a lifetime of experience that I will bring to the White House. I know Senator McCain has a lifetime of experience to the White House. And Senator Obama has a speech he gave in 2002."
Wow, that was dead on.
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